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Futures observation
On Wednesday (September 25), the main contract of L2001 shook lower, closing at 7575 yuan/ton, which was - 0.39% compared with the previous trading day; trading volume was 702922 hands, +16690 hands; positions were 700302 hands, - 20936 hands, base difference was - 25 yuan, price difference was 205 yuan.
L2001 shocks lower, hour KDJ index openings diverge downward, below the focus on support around 7500, pre-holiday prices are expected to be mainly weak consolidation. Operationally, it is recommended to operate within 7500-7620 interval.
On Wednesday (September 25), the PP2001 contract oscillated, closing at 8269 yuan/ton, 0.05% higher than the previous trading day; trading volume 706954 hands, +103,000 hands; holding position 658826 hands, -25188 hands, base difference 611 yuan, 1-5 price difference 387 yuan.
PP2001 contract oscillation operation, prices in the hour near the Brin Medium Rail, continue to pay attention to the pressure around 8340 above, 8200 below the support, the short-term price is expected to be dominated by horizontal consolidation. Operationally, it is recommended that transactions be conducted in the 8200-8340 range.
On Wednesday (September 25), the main PVC V2001 contract opened lower, closing at 6450 yuan/ton, which was - 0.92% compared with the previous trading day; volume 185096 hands, +26990 hands; position 331830 hands, - 7730 hands, base difference 270 yuan, 1-5 price difference 120 yuan.
The main contract of V2001 is open and down, the price breaks through the support of the average line system downward, and the MACD index red pillar turns to green pillar. It is expected that the price will be weak and volatile. The upper concerns about the pressure around 6500, and the lower concerns about the support around 6340. It is suggested that the hollow sheet can be kept.
Anticipation today
[PE] Domestic PE market prices fell partly yesterday. Linear futures shocks weakened, Petrochemical lowered part of the factory price, market delivery was sluggish, merchants shipped slowly, logistics transportation restrictions were strict before National Day, some enterprises implemented shutdown and production restriction measures, and the willingness of terminal active procurement was not high. It is expected that the domestic PE market will continue to be weak today. The mainstream price of LLDPE is 7350-7800 yuan/ton.
[PP] The narrow fluctuation of domestic PP market was dominant yesterday. Petrochemical plant prices remain stable as a whole. Petrochemical inventory pressures are not large. North China is affected by environmental protection and restrictions, downstream demand is general, and Central China is affected by military games to varying degrees. The downstream pre-festival reserve pace slowed down gradually, some high-end quotations or a slight decline, short-term price upward momentum is insufficient. It is estimated that today PP market is dominated by minor shocks, and the mainstream price of wire drawing in East China market is 8800-8850 yuan/ton.
[PVC] The domestic market price of PVC eased slightly yesterday. The market continued to be flat. Some upstream and downstream parts of North China suffered from heavy polluting weather. Trading in other areas was flat. Near the holidays, the market atmosphere was poor and prices fell slightly. It is expected that today's PVC market will continue to be vulnerable, partially down. It is estimated that the mainstream self-lifting of East China carbide will be 6 620-6 680 yuan per ton and that of South China carbide will be 6 720-6 750 yuan per ton.
[ABS] The domestic ABS market was narrow-sided yesterday, with price fluctuations limited. The news is multi-empty game, the spot buying atmosphere is not good, the holders who intend to reduce their warehouses actually make small profits on their stocks, and the overall trading atmosphere is weak. Major ABS producers have basically completed their sales within a month and maintained their intention to make a bid. Short-term ABS mainstream market or weak wait-and-see first. Today, we pay attention to the performance of Styrene Futures in Dachang Stock Exchange.
[PS] Domestic PS market price weakness stabilized yesterday. At present, PS downstream factory stock is basically completed, wait-and-see, prudent delivery, agents also temporarily have no obvious pressure on delivery, market delivery or light. Short-term domestic PS market prices tend to be weak and stable. There is little room for adjustment. It is estimated that toluene in East China market today will be 9750-10700 yuan/ton.
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