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Futures Observation
On Thursday (August 15), the L2001 contract closed down narrowly, with a futures price of 7505 yuan/ton, which was - 0.92% compared with the previous trading day; turnover of 409056 hands, - 405,000 hands; position of 652496 hands, 6562 hands, base difference of - 5 yuan, price difference of 9-1 - 55 yuan.
L2001 price shocks run below the Brin Medium Rail, closing down at the end of the day. It is expected that prices will maintain a weak trend of shocks. Operationally, it is suggested that the hollow sheet should be kept.
On Thursday (Aug. 15), the PP2001 contract opened lower, closing at 8,129 yuan/ton, which was - 0.76% compared with the previous trading day; the volume was 71,4100 hands, - 158,000 hands; the position was 61,6924 hands, +33,334 hands, with a base difference of 671 yuan and a price difference of 9-1 yuan.
PP2001 price opened low, recovered from the low in the market, and closed down at the end. The top concerns about the pressure around 8300, and the bottom concerns about the support around 8050. It is expected that the price will oscillate in a narrow range. It is suggested that trading be conducted in the range of 8050-8300.
On Thursday (Aug. 15), the V2001 contract shocked, closing at 6,675 yuan/ton, 0.45% higher than the previous trading day; turnover of 189,988 hands, -43,626 hands; position of 260,0968 hands, +20,564 hands, 95 yuan basis, 9-1 price difference of 160 yuan.
V2001 contract period price volatility increased, the hourly average system tilted upward. It is expected that the price volatility will be strong. It is suggested that the short-term light warehouse near 6610 with a stop loss of 6560.
Today's Prediction
[PE] The domestic PE market weakened partly yesterday. Linear futures opened low, and some petrochemical companies lowered their ex-factory prices, resulting in strong short-selling sentiment on the market. It is expected that the domestic PE market will fall slightly today, with the linear mainstream price between 7350 and 7650 yuan/ton.
[PP] The domestic PP market was mainly reorganized slightly yesterday. This week's polypropylene start-up rate fell last week, but it is still at a high level. Overhaul enterprises will resume work next week, and the start-up rate is expected to increase. Inventory days of raw materials in downstream plastics knitting factories increased by 12% compared with last week. The enthusiasm of factory stock is still acceptable and demand has warmed up. It is expected that today's domestic PP market will continue to be dominated by weak consolidation, with the mainstream offer of drawing at 8600-8750 yuan/ton.
[PVC] The domestic PVC market was mainly stable yesterday. The basic level of PVC is relatively calm, and the downstream is still dominated by rigid demand. It is expected that today's PVC market will maintain a range of shocks, with the mainstream of East China carbide lifting from 6720 to 6780 yuan/ton and South China carbide lifting from 6870 to 6910 yuan/ton.
[ABS] The domestic ABS market quotation maintained a steady and moderate rise yesterday, while the price of the brand with a higher increase in the earlier period fell somewhat. The macro-market is frequently alternating, the mindset of the operators is entangled, the downstream demand has not yet recovered, and the overall turnover is general. Short-term ABS market or pre-digestion rally dominated.
[PS] The domestic PS market was generally stable and the trading atmosphere was slightly better yesterday. Overnight periphery futures and stock market double killing, market climate or decline, will also inhibit trading. Towards the weekend, PS market may be stabilizing. The toluene in East China market is 9250-9900 yuan/ton.
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